Mission

The Environmental Action Index quantifies the initiative Virginia state senators show towards environmental issues. The goal of the index is to educate voters on environmental issues and combat environmental misinformation

Meaning

The Environmental Action Index is a quantitative score out of 100 that examines how much initiative a senator shows regarding environmentally friendly policies. The closer a score is to 100, the more a senator shows environmental initiative. The index calculates this score using four categories: Voting Record, Legislation Introduced, Public Statements, and Key Issues (see method page for how the score was calculated). 


Disclaimer

This index is not a strictly empirical analysis. The methodology is vulnerable to personal opinions in many steps. The whole method was developed based on opinions about the most publicly accessible data (see biases and future analysis for shortcomings). This index should not be treated as objective fact.

Disclaimer: District 9 is not represented in the index as the senator (Lamont Bagby) has not had the opportunity to vote on or introduce any piece of legislation

Name                                                Party                                          Score (out of 100)

Top 20

David W. Marsden  (District 37) (D)                                          77.1


Lynwood W. Lewis, Jr.  (District 6) (D)                                      68.7


J. Chapman Petersen  (District 34) (D)                                  58.7


Jennifer B. Boysko   (District 33) (D)                                        57.4


John S. Edwards   (District 21) (D)                                              56.5


George L. Barker  (District 39) (D)                                                56.3


T. Montgomery "Monty" Mason (District 1) (D)               54.0


R. Creigh Deeds   (District 25) (D)                                           53.5


Richard H. Stuart  (District 28) (R)                                           52.3


Joseph D. Morrissey  (District 16) (D)                                      51.7


L. Louise Lucas (District 18) (D)                                               51.5


Scott A. Surovell  (District 36) (D)                                     51.4


Adam P. Ebbin  (District 30) (D)                                              51.1


Mamie E. Locke  (District 2) (D)                                                50.3


Barbara A. Favola  (District 31) (D)                                          47.2


Richard L. Saslaw  (District 35) (D)                                          45.7


Emmett W. Hanger, Jr. (District 24) (R)                                    45.4


Ghazala F. Hashmi   (District 10) (D)                                        44.1


Lionell Spruill, Sr.  (District 5) (D)                                         43.8


Jeremy S. McPike  (District 29) (D)                                          43.4


Name                                                Party                                     Score (out of 100)

Bottom 19

John J. Bell  (District 13) (D)                                            43.4


Janet D. Howell   (District 32) (D)                                  42.8


Aaron R. Rouse (District 7) (D)                                     36.8


Stephen D. Newman  (District 23) (R)                                35.1


Jill Holtzman Vogel   (District 27) (R)                                   34.6


Bill Desteph  (District 8) (R)                                                   34.2


Ryan T. McDougle (District 4) (R)                                          31.5


T. Travis Hackworth (District 38) (R)                                     29.5


John A. Cosgrove, Jr.  (District 14) (R)                                  29.1


William M. Stanley, Jr.  (District 20) (R)                           29.0


Bryce E. Reeves  (District 17) (R)                                   28.8


Thomas K. Norment, Jr. (District 3) (R)                           28.1


Todd E. Pillion (District 40) (R)                                              28.0


Siobhan S. Dunnavant (District 12) (R)                               27.8


Mark J. Peake  (District 22) (R)                                              27.6


Frank M. Ruff, Jr.  (District  15) (R)                                       26.5


David R. Suetterlein  (District 19) (R)                                 26.2


Mark D. Obenshain   (District 26) (R)                                 25.2


Amanda F. Chase   (District 11)  (R)                                      23.3


Four criteria were used to calculate the scores

1- Voting Record

2- Legislation Introduced

3- Public Statements

4- Issues on Campaign Website

1- Voting Record

All legislation introduced into the Virginia state senate over the last five years was looked over individually and determined as to whether or not it was a piece of legislation regarding the environment.  A piece of legislation was determined to be an environmental bill if the primary purpose of a bill was determined to align with the UN Sustainable Development Goals as applied to environmental sustainability (green bills).  Almost 100 bills introduced between 2019-2023, including all special sessions, were determined to follow the aforementioned criteria.  A simple decimal of yes votes over the amount of "green bills" a senator voted on was calculated.


2- Legislation Introduced

Of the nearly 100 "green bills" introduced over the past five years, the chief patron or chief co-patrons of the legislation was recorded.  The senator who was the chief patron or chief co-patron for the most amount of "green bills" was given a 1/1 score. Then every other senator's decimal score was calculated based on how many pieces of "green bills" they had introduced over the highest amount of "green bills" one senator had introduced.  This method skews against senators who were elected to the senate after the first year the index dates back to, 2019. To combat this bias, all senators who were elected after 2019 were assessed based on the amount of legislation that senator had introduced divided by the total  "green bills" of the senator who had the most "green bills" introduced since the year that senator was elected. 

3- Public Statements

All public statements linked to a senator's website in the past five years were evaluated. However many senators did not have public statements linked to their campaign website. For these senators, all public statements posted on Facebook over the past five years were used to evaluate a senator's score. Only Senator Dunnavant did not have any public statements on Facebook or on her official website so all tweets over the past five years were evaluated solely for her.  The same process to determine if a bill is a "green bill" was applied to public statements except being "green" did not have to be the primary purpose of the statement, instead, a statement solely needed a reference to being "green." Additionally, some Facebook, posts Tweets, and a few public statements on websites,  were not considered public statements because they did not take a stance on an issue. For example, many senators wished a happy new year to all. Such a post was not considered a public statement. A simple decimal answer of the amount of "green public statements" over total public statements over the past five years was calculated.


4- Issues on Campaign Websites

A senator's key issues (or a similar title) on a senator's website were read through.  Then the issues were evaluated to see if they align fairly explicitly with any of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. The quantity of key issues that aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals was divided by the quantity of UN Sustainable Development goals (17 goals in total) to arrive at a decimal answer out of 1. 


Weighting

Voting Record was given a multiplier of 35.  This is attributed to the belief that action speaks louder than words and that no senator's position on policy can be better assessed than through their voting record.


Legislation Introduced was given a multiplier of 35. Introducing legislation is perhaps the clearest case of a senator using action instead of words. It proves that a senator is making an effort, beyond voting, in favor of climate preservation. 


Public Statements were given a multiplier of 15.  Public statements received this weighting primarily due to the inconsistency of public statements. Due to the criteria for determining if a statement was a "green public statement" or not, some public statement scores were not very representational of a senator's true beliefs.  With that being said, words have power and do carry weight so public statements cannot go unaccounted for. 


Issues on Campaign Websites were given a multiplier of 15. Actions speak louder than words. However, issues on campaign websites are possibly the clearest statements a senator takes on environmental preservation policies so they must be accounted for.


Final Calculation

Voting record received a score out of 35. Legislation introduced received a score out of 35. Public statements were given a score out of 15. Lastly, issues on campaign websites were given a score out of 15. Summed together, these scores gave each senator a cumulative score out of 100. This score out of 100 was then rounded to the nearest tenth of a whole number. Senators with the same score rounded to the nearest tenth were ranked in order by which senator had a higher decimal score before rounding.


Spreadsheet:

Attached below is the Google sheet where all of the data was collected and where the calculations were made.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13uVKv1x-zN0aV32jZL2U0GjUAn3eh7QxAomgvEisDU0/edit?usp=sharing

There were several factors and ways that could have made the index more representative of each senator.

1- Senators without key issues

18/40 senators did not have a key issues page. To estimate these senators' scores, the score of each senator after calculating the amount of legislation introduced, voting records, and public statements were added up, weighted, and ordered.  The scores of the senators who had a key issues score were then added. The mean (out of one) of the three scores of senators with a key issues score directly above a senator with no key issues and the three scores directly below a senator with no key issues was calculated and added as the key issues score to the senator with no key issues score. This number was then multiplied by 15 in the final calculation. Additionally, senators with no key issues score towards very top of the order, before adding all the key issue score estimates, did not have three senators scores above theirs so the three below and as many as were above (whether 0, 1, or 2 scores) were compiled into the mean. The opposite was done for senators at the very bottom. The mean of the three scores from above and all the ones below (whether 0, 1, or 2 scores) were compiled to calculate the means. Some senators who did not have a key issues score also did not have scores directly above them in the order, so the three closest that were above were selected and contributed to the mean. The calculation of scores started at the bottom of the ranking so there was not the problem of not having senators directly below a senator with no key issues score that did not have a key issues score themselves. This calculation made many of the scores of the senators an estimate as opposed to based on data.  A future way to make the study more empirical is to broaden the scope of where key issue information is gathered. This study only considered key issues as what is directly stated on a senator's campaign website. Reaching out to each state senator's (with no key issues on their website) team individually about key issues of that senator would a way to decrease the number of senators with no key issues score.


2- Skew towards introducing legislation

Because of the nature of the method, the senators who introduced a high amount of legislation received significantly higher scores than those who did not. This was justified by the belief that senators who introduce legislation show initiative regarding environmental action and should thus receive higher scores.  Whether this is the most rational methodology is debatable but is certainly something that should be noted when evaluating scores. 


3- Every "green" aspect is weighted the same

Each "green bill," "green public statement," or "green issue" was not adjusted for how impactful they were.  No bill, key issue, or public statement was weighted more significantly than the others. This was to eliminate personal bias in determining the significance of any bill.  However, this is not the most effective in determining how much environmental initiative a senator shows. For example, a senator who introduces the Virginia Green New Deal should receive a higher score for introducing that legislation than someone who introduces legislation that promotes solar energy in a single locality because the Virginia Green New Deal is a piece of legislation with a far greater impact.  This also applies to voting records, public statements, and key issues. A future study that weighs the significance of each bill and assigns scores accordingly would contribute to a more effective analysis and more representative index score. 


4- Harmful legislation

No senator's score was reduced for supporting policies that did harm to the environment or were counterproductive towards environmental initiatives. Another beneficial study could consist of evaluating senators that propose environmentally harmful legislation, voting "nay" on "green bills," or having environmentally counterproductive public statements or key issues as decreasing a senator's score as opposed to leaving their score unimpacted. 


5- Bias

Opinion and bias are very present in this index. What constitutes a "green bill" or a "green public statement" is often left to subjectivity. As emphasized prior, even the development of the method had very present bias such as possibly favoring senators whose campaigns have more money as they are more likely to introduce more legislation. Many other factors contained personal bias and opinions that decrease the empiricism of the index.


6- Human error

Human error is most likely present in this analysis. There were thousands of bills, votes, public statements, and key issues that were analyzed. It is most reasonable to assume that given the mass volume of data analyzed, there is present some amount of human error such as typing "nay" when in fact a senator voted "yay" or skipping over a "green bill" by mistake.  A check of the data collection by a reputable third-party source would prove beneficial in decreasing the amount of human error.

My name is Sean Lacalle, I am a senior in high school, and I am the creator of the Environmental Action Index. I created the index in order to increase voter education on environmental issues. I also wanted to have a particular impact on the upcoming 2023 Virginia state elections.